Toronto FC vs Houston Dynamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.5%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
39.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
KCW
2 - 0
TOR
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
TOR
1 - 1
COC
30%
29%
41%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
TOR
1 - 3
CHI
37%
28%
35%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
CHI
2 - 1
TOR
51%
27%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
TOR
1 - 1
NER
29%
28%
44%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Houston Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
SFF
0 - 0
HOD
47%
24%
29%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
SJE
1 - 1
HOD
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
HOD
3 - 1
KCW
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2008 |
HOD
2 - 1
CFS
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
RBN
3 - 0
HOD
45%
27%
28%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |