Toronto FC vs Cincinnati analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
COR
0 - 0
TOR
55%
23%
23%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
TOR
4 - 0
YOR
62%
20%
19%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
TOR
2 - 1
NSC
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
TOR
0 - 1
IMI
53%
26%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
CIN
2 - 0
TOR
20%
24%
57%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cincinnati
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
DCU
4 - 2
CIN
69%
19%
11%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CIN
1 - 2
NYC
14%
22%
64%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
AFC
4 - 0
CIN
67%
21%
12%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
CIN
2 - 0
TOR
20%
24%
57%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
CIN
0 - 1
IMI
31%
30%
39%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |