Tormenta vs Forward Madison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
48.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
2º
11º
11º
13
3º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
22 | 53 |
1º
|
24.5% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 52 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
1º
|
32 | 51 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 48 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 46 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 43 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 41 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 40 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 40 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 38 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
15 | 37 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 35 |
12º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 29 |
13º
|
52.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 20 |
14º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
34% | 50.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
66% | 49.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tormenta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
OMA
1 - 2
TOR
80%
14%
6%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
TOR
1 - 2
OKS
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2025 |
PHP
1 - 1
TOR
17%
20%
63%
|
50 | 22 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2025 |
TOR
2 - 1
NAP
73%
16%
11%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
OKS
3 - 0
TOR
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
FMA
1 - 1
CHA
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
FMA
3 - 1
GTR
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
TFC
2 - 0
FMA
19%
23%
58%
|
61 | 19 | 42 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
FMA
1 - 2
WES
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 13 | 48 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
SPV
2 - 1
FMA
29%
27%
45%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |