Tormenta vs Forward Madison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
2º
10º
10º
40
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tormenta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 2
CVF
64%
20%
16%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 1
TOR
51%
24%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
TOR
0 - 4
OMA
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
RIC
0 - 1
TOR
31%
25%
44%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 0
OKS
59%
22%
20%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
NCO
4 - 1
FMA
65%
21%
15%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
FMA
0 - 1
OMA
16%
25%
59%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
NCO
2 - 0
FMA
62%
22%
17%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FMA
2 - 2
LSC
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 0
FMA
59%
22%
19%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |