Torhout vs Racing Club Harelbeke analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
34.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
5º
15º
13º
53
1º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
78.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
78.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
83% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
51.5% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
72.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
72.5% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
63.5% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
91% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
72.5% | 21.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 78.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
27.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torhout
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ZUL
3 - 1
TOR
39%
24%
37%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 3
ROD
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
KVC
1 - 1
TOR
16%
21%
64%
|
52 | 20 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 2
OOS
45%
23%
32%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SPA
2 - 1
TOR
39%
25%
37%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Club Harelbeke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SPO
5 - 4
GUL
57%
22%
21%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
WES
2 - 4
SPO
30%
24%
46%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
SPO
2 - 2
SPA
47%
24%
29%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
APP
1 - 2
SPO
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 1
GEN
47%
24%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |