Torgelower SV Greif vs RB Leipzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
65.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torgelower SV Greif
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
MAG
2 - 0
TOR
61%
22%
17%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
HER
4 - 1
TOR
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 1
PLA
38%
25%
37%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MEU
1 - 0
TOR
59%
22%
20%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
TOR
2 - 1
AUE
32%
25%
43%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
RB Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
RBL
2 - 0
HER
79%
15%
7%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
PLA
1 - 1
RBL
17%
22%
62%
|
66 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
RBL
2 - 0
MEU
85%
11%
4%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
AUE
3 - 4
RBL
9%
20%
71%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
RBL
3 - 0
GER
85%
12%
4%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | 0 |