Torgelower SV Greif vs Luckenwalde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
26.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torgelower SV Greif
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
TOR
1 - 1
FAL
58%
21%
21%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
ENE
2 - 1
TOR
61%
21%
17%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
TOR
4 - 0
BSC
35%
25%
40%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +3 |
| 20 Nov. 2009 |
GRE
1 - 2
TOR
33%
24%
42%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
TOR
2 - 0
LIC
75%
15%
10%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Luckenwalde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
REI
0 - 4
LUC
45%
25%
31%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
LUC
1 - 1
ENE
30%
24%
46%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
BSC
3 - 1
LUC
60%
21%
20%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
LUC
3 - 0
GRE
64%
19%
17%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
LIC
2 - 1
LUC
17%
22%
61%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | -2 |