Torgelower SV Greif vs Lichterfelder analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.5%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
5.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torgelower SV Greif
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 1
TOR
67%
19%
14%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
TOR
2 - 0
ALT
75%
16%
10%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
GSC
4 - 3
TOR
22%
25%
53%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
TOR
2 - 0
NEU
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
HAN
4 - 2
TOR
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Lichterfelder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ALT
1 - 1
LIC
63%
20%
18%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
LIC
2 - 2
NEU
16%
22%
61%
|
24 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 0
LIC
68%
18%
14%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
LIC
0 - 0
VIK
16%
21%
63%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
ANK
4 - 2
LIC
60%
22%
19%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |