Torgelower SV Greif vs BFC Dynamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
13.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torgelower SV Greif
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
ANK
2 - 4
TOR
22%
25%
53%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
TOR
2 - 1
MAL
70%
18%
13%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
NEU
0 - 0
TOR
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
TOR
3 - 0
BSC
75%
15%
10%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
TOR
3 - 2
LIC
83%
12%
6%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
BFC Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
BFC
1 - 0
LIC
79%
14%
7%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
BFC
0 - 1
ALT
68%
18%
14%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
NEU
3 - 2
BFC
74%
17%
10%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
BFC
3 - 2
UNI
58%
21%
21%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
VIK
1 - 0
BFC
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |