Segunda Categoría - Ecuador Knock-outs 1/16
Global 3-1
Toreros vs UT Cotopaxi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
56.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toreros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
TOR
3 - 1
DAE
86%
10%
4%
|
44 | 16 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
DAE
1 - 0
TOR
7%
13%
80%
|
46 | 9 | 37 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CSV
1 - 0
TOR
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
TOR
0 - 0
CSV
38%
25%
37%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
TOR
2 - 1
CDM
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
UT Cotopaxi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
UTC
13 - 0
CCV
79%
15%
6%
|
63 | 9 | 54 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CCV
0 - 3
UTC
12%
20%
67%
|
63 | 9 | 54 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
UTC
0 - 0
COL
60%
24%
16%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
COL
1 - 0
UTC
25%
28%
47%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
CUE
2 - 1
UTC
14%
23%
63%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | -1 |