Segunda Categoría - Ecuador 1/16
Global 0-1
Toreros vs Vargas Torres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
36.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toreros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
TOR
2 - 1
CDM
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CDM
1 - 1
TOR
39%
25%
37%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
TOR
0 - 1
CDG
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
CDG
2 - 1
TOR
27%
24%
49%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2019 |
TOR
0 - 2
AUC
6%
11%
83%
|
49 | 74 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CSV
2 - 0
PAT
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
PAT
1 - 0
CSV
30%
25%
46%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
CSV
0 - 1
MUS
8%
14%
79%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
CSV
0 - 0
CDA
51%
23%
26%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
CSV
3 - 0
PQU
19%
21%
60%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +2 |