Torch FC vs Monmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.5%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.6%
11%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
84.5%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
13.1%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.8%
0-4
9.3%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
12.5%
0-5
5.3%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6.7%
0-6
2.5%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.1%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torch FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
TOR
1 - 8
NJC
5%
11%
84%
|
10 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2018 |
WCU
7 - 0
TOR
94%
5%
1%
|
10 | 42 | 32 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
TOR
0 - 3
FCM
4%
10%
86%
|
11 | 46 | 35 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
HER
3 - 2
TOR
79%
13%
8%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
TOR
0 - 6
WCU
4%
11%
85%
|
12 | 44 | 32 | -1 |
Matches
Monmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2018 |
MON
2 - 1
ECS
90%
8%
3%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
JLS
3 - 1
MON
55%
20%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2018 |
MON
2 - 2
NJC
52%
21%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
MON
2 - 1
HER
88%
9%
4%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
ATC
30%
22%
48%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +2 |