Torch FC vs Philadelphia Lone Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.2%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
79.7%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
11.1%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.3%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.7%
0-5
4%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.5%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torch FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
MON
3 - 1
TOR
89%
8%
3%
|
12 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2019 |
WCU
4 - 0
TOR
90%
7%
3%
|
12 | 38 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2019 |
TOR
3 - 2
ATC
5%
12%
83%
|
7 | 37 | 30 | +5 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
FCM
3 - 1
TOR
93%
6%
2%
|
7 | 42 | 35 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2019 |
TOR
0 - 5
WCU
4%
10%
86%
|
7 | 38 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Philadelphia Lone Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2019 |
HER
1 - 1
JLS
6%
13%
81%
|
36 | 12 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
JLS
4 - 3
NJC
73%
15%
12%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2019 |
WCU
1 - 2
JLS
62%
19%
20%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
MON
1 - 1
JLS
45%
22%
33%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2019 |
JLS
4 - 1
TOR
93%
6%
2%
|
34 | 7 | 27 | 0 |