Torch FC vs Hershey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
36.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torch FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2019 |
TOR
1 - 0
JLS
7%
13%
80%
|
12 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
MON
3 - 1
TOR
89%
8%
3%
|
12 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2019 |
WCU
4 - 0
TOR
90%
7%
3%
|
12 | 38 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2019 |
TOR
3 - 2
ATC
5%
12%
83%
|
7 | 37 | 30 | +5 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
FCM
3 - 1
TOR
93%
6%
2%
|
7 | 42 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Hershey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2019 |
ECS
3 - 1
HER
16%
18%
66%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
HER
1 - 0
FCM
5%
11%
84%
|
14 | 42 | 28 | +4 |
| 13 Jun. 2019 |
HER
1 - 1
JLS
6%
13%
81%
|
12 | 36 | 24 | +2 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
HER
1 - 3
MON
7%
13%
81%
|
12 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
ATC
2 - 2
HER
90%
7%
2%
|
12 | 37 | 25 | 0 |