Torcatense vs Trofense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
69.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torcatense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
TOR
3 - 0
AGU
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 2
TOR
51%
22%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 1
TDB
64%
20%
17%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CEL
1 - 1
TOR
22%
22%
56%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
TOR
2 - 1
CEL
65%
19%
16%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
AVE
3 - 0
TRO
60%
23%
17%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
TRO
2 - 1
SCF
24%
28%
48%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CHA
6 - 0
TRO
70%
20%
10%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
TRO
0 - 0
SAN
36%
28%
36%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
POR
2 - 3
TRO
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |