Torcatense vs Serzedelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
18.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torcatense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
TOR
0 - 1
AMA
70%
17%
13%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
JOA
0 - 2
TOR
41%
23%
36%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
AGU
2 - 5
TOR
32%
23%
45%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 0
MAR
63%
20%
18%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
TDB
3 - 1
TOR
26%
23%
52%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Serzedelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
AMA
1 - 0
SER
35%
24%
41%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
RON
1 - 0
SER
46%
24%
30%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
SER
0 - 0
MER
51%
23%
26%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
AGU
3 - 0
SER
20%
22%
58%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | -2 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
SER
1 - 0
BRI
78%
15%
8%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | 0 |