Torcatense vs Merelinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
43.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torcatense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
OSL
0 - 1
TOR
43%
24%
33%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 0
TOR
65%
21%
14%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
TOR
0 - 3
ADO
25%
25%
50%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
PED
1 - 1
TOR
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
MON
1 - 2
TOR
39%
23%
38%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
MER
1 - 0
MON
68%
17%
15%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
MER
3 - 0
BRA
27%
25%
48%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +3 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
MIR
1 - 3
MER
46%
25%
29%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
MER
5 - 0
PON
80%
13%
7%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
MER
2 - 2
LEX
18%
26%
56%
|
35 | 57 | 22 | +2 |