Torcatense vs Marítimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.6%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.5%
14%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
80.5%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
16%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.3%
0-3
13%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
17.3%
0-4
7.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torcatense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
TOR
1 - 0
BRA
51%
23%
26%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
ATA
0 - 1
TOR
35%
23%
42%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
TOR
2 - 0
LUS
36%
24%
40%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
TOR
3 - 1
MIN
67%
18%
15%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
CAM
1 - 0
TOR
20%
21%
59%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 1
SLB
16%
23%
61%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
VIT
2 - 1
MAR
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2017 |
SCP
0 - 0
MAR
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 1
AVE
64%
23%
13%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
RIO
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |