Torcatense vs Braganca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
61.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torcatense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
MIR
1 - 0
TOR
59%
21%
20%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
TOR
2 - 1
PON
71%
17%
12%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ATA
1 - 0
TOR
42%
23%
35%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
MER
2 - 0
TOR
18%
20%
62%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
TOR
0 - 0
OSL
47%
23%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Braganca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
BRA
2 - 0
MON
77%
16%
7%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
PED
2 - 3
BRA
30%
27%
43%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
PED
1 - 0
BRA
26%
27%
47%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
MIR
1 - 2
BRA
25%
26%
49%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
BRA
4 - 0
PON
83%
13%
4%
|
49 | 22 | 27 | +1 |