Torcatense vs Arões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
24.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torcatense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
PDA
1 - 2
TOR
14%
19%
68%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 1
SER
61%
21%
19%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
TOR
0 - 1
AMA
70%
17%
13%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
JOA
0 - 2
TOR
41%
23%
36%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
AGU
2 - 5
TOR
32%
23%
45%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Arões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
ARO
2 - 1
AMA
62%
20%
19%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
JOA
1 - 1
ARO
43%
24%
33%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
ARO
1 - 0
AGU
66%
18%
15%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 0
ARO
40%
24%
36%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
TDB
0 - 0
ARO
36%
24%
40%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |