Premier de Ascenso - Apertura Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Topos de Reynosa vs Mineros de Fresnillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
34.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Topos de Reynosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
CAC
6 - 0
TOP
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
TOP
3 - 0
DSJ
63%
20%
17%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
COR
1 - 1
TOP
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
NEX
4 - 0
TOP
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
TOP
3 - 0
CEL
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Mineros de Fresnillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
MIN
0 - 0
NEX
37%
24%
39%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CEL
0 - 3
MIN
51%
23%
26%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +3 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
MIN
1 - 2
ZAM
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
REB
1 - 0
MIN
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MIN
2 - 1
ACA
27%
24%
49%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +1 |