Toowong vs Univ. Queensland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.5%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
11%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11%
6.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toowong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
TOO
0 - 3
BAY
40%
22%
38%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
GAP
2 - 6
TOO
13%
17%
71%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
ACA
1 - 3
TOO
38%
22%
41%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ACA
4 - 2
TOO
29%
21%
50%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
TOO
0 - 1
UNI
83%
11%
7%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
GEO
3 - 0
UNI
87%
9%
4%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 2
ACA
27%
22%
51%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 3
BAY
14%
18%
68%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
TOO
0 - 1
UNI
83%
11%
7%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 2
GEO
10%
15%
75%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |