Toowong vs Logan Metro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.5%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
8.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points