Tooting and Mitcham vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
49.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tooting and Mitcham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2018 |
WIN
1 - 1
TOO
71%
17%
12%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
KIN
0 - 1
TOO
56%
21%
23%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
DOR
2 - 2
TOO
68%
18%
14%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
TOO
2 - 6
BIL
9%
18%
73%
|
29 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
MAR
3 - 2
TOO
71%
17%
12%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2018 |
WIN
1 - 1
TOO
71%
17%
12%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
WIN
3 - 1
LEA
41%
25%
35%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +2 |
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
WIN
4 - 3
LOW
71%
18%
12%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
WOR
2 - 1
WIN
34%
24%
43%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
DUL
1 - 2
WIN
69%
18%
14%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |