Tooting and Mitcham vs Newport Isle of Wight FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.8%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.8%
5.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tooting and Mitcham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
WAL
2 - 1
TOO
23%
23%
54%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2005 |
COR
1 - 5
TOO
19%
22%
59%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
TOO
0 - 2
TON
69%
18%
14%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2005 |
LEA
0 - 3
TOO
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
TOO
4 - 1
HAS
60%
21%
20%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Newport Isle of Wight FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
NEW
0 - 2
BAN
39%
25%
36%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2005 |
LEA
1 - 0
NEW
75%
16%
9%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
NEW
2 - 6
CRA
23%
22%
55%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
COR
1 - 1
NEW
46%
24%
30%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2005 |
NEW
2 - 2
LEA
18%
22%
60%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | +2 |