Tooting and Mitcham vs Newport Isle of Wight FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.4%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tooting and Mitcham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
BRO
1 - 2
TOO
62%
20%
18%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2005 |
TOO
2 - 2
CRA
35%
24%
42%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
TOO
3 - 2
MET
45%
24%
32%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
WAL
2 - 1
TOO
48%
24%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
TOO
4 - 2
DOR
54%
22%
24%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Newport Isle of Wight FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
NEW
1 - 1
LEA
15%
20%
65%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2005 |
NEW
1 - 0
BAN
34%
25%
42%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2004 |
BAS
2 - 2
NEW
81%
13%
6%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
NEW
2 - 3
HOR
16%
21%
63%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
CRO
3 - 1
NEW
79%
14%
8%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |