Tooting and Mitcham vs Merstham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
46.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tooting and Mitcham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
TOO
1 - 1
CHI
45%
23%
32%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 0
TOO
64%
20%
16%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
WOR
2 - 0
TOO
78%
14%
9%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
TOO
3 - 2
WHI
46%
23%
31%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
SIT
2 - 0
TOO
50%
24%
26%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
HER
0 - 3
MER
31%
23%
46%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
MER
1 - 4
HYT
47%
22%
31%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
SIT
2 - 2
MER
34%
25%
42%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
MER
1 - 2
FAV
71%
17%
12%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
WAL
6 - 6
MER
22%
23%
56%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |