Tooting and Mitcham vs Lewes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
35.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tooting and Mitcham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
HOR
6 - 0
TOO
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
TOO
1 - 1
WIN
30%
24%
45%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
TOO
1 - 4
KIN
36%
25%
40%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
CON
3 - 4
TOO
60%
22%
18%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
LEA
2 - 4
TOO
68%
19%
14%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Lewes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
LEW
4 - 1
AVE
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
HEN
2 - 2
LEW
48%
25%
27%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
HOR
0 - 1
LEW
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
LEW
2 - 1
BIL
37%
27%
37%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
LEW
1 - 0
MET
32%
26%
43%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +2 |