Tooting and Mitcham vs Kingstonian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
39.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tooting and Mitcham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
CON
3 - 4
TOO
60%
22%
18%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
LEA
2 - 4
TOO
68%
19%
14%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
TOO
0 - 1
EAS
21%
22%
57%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
TOO
1 - 2
CAN
35%
25%
40%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
KIN
4 - 2
TOO
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Kingstonian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
KIN
1 - 2
CAN
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2011 |
KIN
3 - 4
HOR
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
AVE
0 - 0
KIN
23%
24%
53%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 3
KIN
21%
24%
56%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
KIN
4 - 2
TOO
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |