Tooting and Mitcham vs Horsham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
21.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tooting and Mitcham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
STO
5 - 0
TOO
69%
18%
13%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
CHI
4 - 1
TOO
46%
25%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
TOO
3 - 2
WAL
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2009 |
TOO
1 - 0
HAR
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
TOO
5 - 3
TON
34%
25%
42%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
HOR
4 - 0
CRA
44%
24%
31%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
BAR
4 - 3
HOR
44%
24%
32%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
HOR
4 - 4
BAR
69%
18%
13%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2009 |
HOR
1 - 0
MAI
37%
26%
37%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
HOR
1 - 3
BOR
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |