Tooting and Mitcham vs Horsham YMCA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.4%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
4.9%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tooting and Mitcham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
MOL
1 - 1
TOO
12%
21%
67%
|
50 | 23 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
CRA
2 - 3
TOO
26%
25%
49%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2007 |
TOO
4 - 0
WAL
79%
14%
7%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
TOO
0 - 1
DUL
70%
18%
13%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
COR
2 - 5
TOO
18%
24%
59%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Horsham YMCA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2007 |
MOL
2 - 2
HOR
47%
24%
29%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
HOR
0 - 4
CRA
26%
22%
52%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2007 |
WAL
2 - 2
HOR
60%
21%
19%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
HOR
1 - 2
CHI
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
ATK
1 - 1
HOR
63%
21%
16%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |