Tooting and Mitcham vs Guernsey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
32.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-59%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tooting and Mitcham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
BED
5 - 4
TOO
70%
18%
12%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2022 |
TOO
0 - 2
HAN
21%
23%
56%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2021 |
STA
2 - 0
TOO
31%
23%
45%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
TOO
1 - 0
WES
34%
24%
42%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2021 |
BIN
1 - 0
TOO
60%
20%
20%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Guernsey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
GUE
6 - 2
STA
51%
21%
29%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
ASH
3 - 2
GUE
45%
23%
32%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
MAR
6 - 0
GUE
66%
20%
15%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
GUE
0 - 1
CHE
19%
20%
61%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
UXB
3 - 2
GUE
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |