Tooting and Mitcham vs Guernsey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
32.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tooting and Mitcham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
PEA
1 - 1
TOO
13%
21%
66%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
RAM
0 - 1
TOO
63%
20%
17%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
TOO
0 - 1
SIT
61%
21%
18%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
MOL
3 - 2
TOO
55%
20%
24%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
HAS
2 - 0
TOO
58%
22%
20%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Guernsey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
GUE
3 - 0
SIT
54%
23%
24%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
WHY
4 - 3
GUE
49%
22%
29%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
GUE
1 - 4
HAS
45%
24%
31%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
CHI
4 - 1
GUE
22%
21%
57%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -3 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
GUE
1 - 2
FAV
45%
23%
31%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |