FA Cup Previa 1
Global 2-4
Tooting and Mitcham vs Erith & Belvedere analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
13.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tooting and Mitcham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
THR
1 - 0
TOO
25%
23%
52%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
BOG
2 - 0
TOO
61%
20%
19%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
TOO
3 - 0
BED
46%
22%
32%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
STA
0 - 4
TOO
21%
21%
58%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
TOO
2 - 0
ROM
65%
20%
15%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Erith & Belvedere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
TOW
1 - 5
ERI
14%
17%
69%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
ERI
3 - 1
HYB
60%
19%
21%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2021 |
ERI
3 - 0
RAM
14%
16%
71%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
HAR
5 - 0
ERI
75%
15%
10%
|
13 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
ERI
1 - 1
ALF
34%
22%
45%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |