Tooting and Mitcham vs Dorking Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
57.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tooting and Mitcham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2019 |
TOO
4 - 0
BED
73%
15%
12%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
HAR
1 - 1
TOO
36%
22%
42%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
TOO
3 - 1
VAR
76%
15%
10%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
TOO
2 - 1
NOR
77%
14%
9%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
CHI
1 - 2
TOO
26%
23%
51%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Dorking Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
DOR
3 - 1
MAI
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
DAR
3 - 4
DOR
29%
26%
46%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2019 |
DOR
1 - 0
CHI
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
DOR
0 - 0
DUL
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
BRA
3 - 2
DOR
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |