Tooting and Mitcham vs Croydon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.7%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
7.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tooting and Mitcham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
COR
1 - 1
TOO
40%
25%
36%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
CRA
1 - 1
TOO
66%
20%
15%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
TOO
8 - 3
ATK
71%
17%
11%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
TOO
1 - 2
HOR
50%
23%
27%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
FLE
1 - 1
TOO
29%
25%
46%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Croydon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
CRO
0 - 3
AFC
13%
21%
67%
|
21 | 61 | 40 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
CRO
0 - 1
HOR
21%
23%
55%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2004 |
CRO
1 - 3
FLE
40%
25%
35%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
CRA
0 - 0
CRO
81%
13%
6%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2004 |
WHY
1 - 1
CRO
67%
19%
14%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |