Tooting and Mitcham vs Croydon Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
29.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tooting and Mitcham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
TOO
4 - 2
BAL
40%
23%
37%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
JBF
0 - 1
TOO
89%
8%
3%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
TOO
2 - 4
ANF
13%
17%
71%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
ANF
3 - 3
TOO
67%
19%
14%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
CRO
0 - 1
TOO
52%
22%
27%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Croydon Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
HOR
0 - 1
CRO
42%
22%
36%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
CRO
2 - 2
HOR
46%
21%
33%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ALT
1 - 1
CRO
55%
20%
25%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
CRO
3 - 1
SUA
31%
21%
48%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
CRO
3 - 4
BEC
18%
18%
63%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |