Tooting and Mitcham vs Corinthian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
59.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tooting and Mitcham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
GUE
0 - 2
TOO
61%
20%
19%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
TOO
0 - 1
MAR
23%
25%
53%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
TOO
1 - 2
VCD
21%
23%
56%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
TOO
0 - 0
MER
45%
24%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
NOR
3 - 2
TOO
64%
20%
17%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Corinthian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
COR
1 - 2
MET
13%
16%
71%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
MET
2 - 2
COR
66%
19%
16%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
COR
1 - 2
CRA
35%
23%
42%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CHI
1 - 1
COR
35%
23%
42%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
COR
3 - 0
GUI
48%
22%
30%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |