Tooting and Mitcham vs Bishops Stortford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
46.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tooting and Mitcham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
BIS
0 - 0
TOO
67%
19%
14%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2014 |
HAS
0 - 3
TOO
55%
23%
22%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
COR
1 - 1
TOO
64%
20%
16%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
TOO
1 - 1
WHI
39%
23%
38%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
CRA
1 - 2
TOO
41%
24%
34%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bishops Stortford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
BIS
0 - 0
TOO
67%
19%
14%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
BIS
3 - 1
WHI
31%
24%
45%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
BIS
1 - 1
BAT
38%
25%
37%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
CON
3 - 3
BIS
63%
20%
18%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
BIS
2 - 3
BAS
37%
25%
37%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |