Tooting and Mitcham vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
15.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tooting and Mitcham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
DOR
0 - 0
TOO
25%
24%
51%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
TOO
1 - 1
AFC
24%
25%
51%
|
37 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
BUR
2 - 0
TOO
43%
24%
33%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
ATK
3 - 2
TOO
26%
24%
50%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2005 |
TOO
4 - 1
WHY
67%
18%
15%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
BAS
0 - 1
BAN
66%
20%
14%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2005 |
ATK
4 - 1
BAS
39%
24%
38%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
BAS
0 - 0
CRO
54%
23%
23%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
HAS
1 - 1
BAS
49%
23%
27%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
BAS
0 - 3
BRO
39%
25%
36%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -2 |