Tooting and Mitcham vs Aveley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
22.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tooting and Mitcham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2011 |
HAR
1 - 1
TOO
63%
20%
17%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
TOO
0 - 4
CRA
25%
24%
51%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 2
TOO
44%
24%
33%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
TOO
2 - 2
LEW
40%
25%
35%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
HOR
6 - 0
TOO
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2011 |
AVE
0 - 2
MET
28%
26%
46%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
CAN
0 - 3
AVE
71%
18%
11%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | +3 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
BUR
1 - 0
AVE
71%
18%
11%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2011 |
AVE
2 - 3
HOR
23%
25%
52%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
LEW
4 - 1
AVE
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |