Tongeren vs Lutlommel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tongeren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
PAT
3 - 1
TON
65%
21%
15%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
ZWA
3 - 2
TON
40%
24%
37%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
WIT
1 - 2
TON
40%
25%
35%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
TON
1 - 1
DEK
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
EXV
1 - 0
TON
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lutlommel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
LUT
1 - 3
SIN
21%
22%
57%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
LUT
3 - 2
LIL
25%
23%
52%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
LUT
0 - 1
HEU
35%
24%
41%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
OOS
2 - 1
LUT
75%
16%
9%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
LUT
0 - 3
OVE
28%
24%
48%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |