Tonga vs Cook Islands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
49.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
FIJ
5 - 0
TON
82%
13%
5%
|
22 | 56 | 34 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
TON
2 - 1
COK
19%
23%
58%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
SAM
1 - 1
TON
77%
15%
8%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
ASA
2 - 1
TON
2%
11%
86%
|
22 | 7 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
TON
1 - 2
COK
34%
24%
41%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cook Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
TON
2 - 1
COK
19%
23%
58%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
ASA
1 - 1
COK
3%
13%
84%
|
30 | 9 | 21 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
COK
2 - 3
SAM
39%
24%
36%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
TON
1 - 2
COK
34%
24%
41%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2009 |
TON
1 - 1
COK
33%
24%
43%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |