Tonga vs Cook Islands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
41.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2009 |
TON
1 - 1
COK
33%
24%
43%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2007 |
TON
1 - 4
VAN
7%
17%
76%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
TON
4 - 0
ASA
94%
5%
1%
|
22 | 7 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2007 |
SAM
2 - 1
TON
80%
13%
6%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2007 |
SOL
4 - 0
TON
90%
8%
2%
|
23 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Cook Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2009 |
TON
1 - 1
COK
33%
24%
43%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2008 |
COK
1 - 2
VAN
34%
24%
42%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2007 |
COK
0 - 1
TAH
16%
21%
63%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
COK
4 - 1
TUV
23%
23%
54%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +4 |
| 30 Aug. 2007 |
NCL
3 - 0
COK
79%
14%
7%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | -1 |