Tonga vs Cook Islands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
62.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2004 |
SOL
6 - 0
TON
87%
9%
3%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2003 |
TAH
4 - 0
TON
81%
12%
7%
|
23 | 51 | 28 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2003 |
PNG
2 - 2
TON
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2001 |
TON
1 - 8
FIJ
3%
15%
82%
|
22 | 57 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
ASA
0 - 5
TON
2%
13%
86%
|
22 | 7 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Cook Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2004 |
SOL
5 - 0
COK
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2004 |
TAH
2 - 0
COK
79%
14%
7%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2004 |
COK
0 - 0
SLE
9%
18%
74%
|
34 | 72 | 38 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2001 |
COK
0 - 6
TAH
17%
23%
60%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2001 |
NZL
2 - 0
COK
90%
8%
2%
|
35 | 73 | 38 | 0 |