Tonga vs Cook Islands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
57%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cook Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1995 |
TAH
2 - 0
COK
69%
17%
14%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1995 |
COK
3 - 3
FIJ
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 1995 |
TAH
4 - 2
COK
68%
18%
14%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1993 |
TAH
1 - 0
COK
67%
18%
15%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1993 |
FIJ
1 - 0
COK
70%
17%
14%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |