Tonga vs Australia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
2.1%
Win probability
0.14
Expected goals
2-0
0.1%
3-1
<0%
+2
0.1%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
0.2%
3-2
<0%
+1
1.9%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
0.2%
0
15.9%
82%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
24.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
23.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
25.8%
0-3
15.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0%
-3
16.4%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
0.4%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
1%
1-7
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+107%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
SAM
0 - 1
TON
84%
11%
5%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1996 |
TON
1 - 0
SAM
21%
26%
54%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | +6 |
| 11 Nov. 1996 |
TON
2 - 0
COK
18%
25%
57%
|
9 | 39 | 30 | +7 |
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2001 |
COL
3 - 2
AUS
56%
25%
19%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2000 |
SCO
0 - 2
AUS
54%
27%
19%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2000 |
AUS
2 - 4
KOR
37%
28%
36%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2000 |
KWT
0 - 1
AUS
40%
28%
33%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2000 |
AUS
2 - 0
NZL
71%
19%
11%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | +1 |