Tonga vs American Samoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.8%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.3%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.2%
12%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
4.1%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+1615%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
TON
0 - 3
COK
27%
24%
49%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
FIJ
5 - 0
TON
82%
13%
5%
|
22 | 56 | 34 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
TON
2 - 1
COK
19%
23%
58%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
SAM
1 - 1
TON
77%
15%
8%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
ASA
2 - 1
TON
2%
11%
86%
|
22 | 7 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
American Samoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
SAM
3 - 2
ASA
86%
11%
3%
|
11 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
FIJ
6 - 0
ASA
85%
11%
4%
|
11 | 56 | 45 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
SAM
1 - 0
ASA
90%
8%
2%
|
11 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
ASA
1 - 1
COK
3%
13%
84%
|
9 | 30 | 21 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
ASA
2 - 1
TON
2%
11%
86%
|
7 | 22 | 15 | +2 |