Tondela vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
EST
1 - 1
TON
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
TON
1 - 1
NAC
47%
25%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
FCP
1 - 0
TON
82%
13%
5%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
TON
2 - 0
MOR
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
SPB
2 - 1
TON
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
ARM
1 - 2
VST
5%
12%
83%
|
74 | 44 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
VST
3 - 0
MOR
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
VIT
1 - 1
VST
48%
26%
27%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
VST
0 - 2
FCP
13%
22%
65%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
NAC
3 - 3
VST
47%
24%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |