Tondela vs Sporting CP II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 2
TON
36%
29%
35%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
TON
5 - 1
CDT
85%
11%
4%
|
61 | 31 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
OLI
3 - 2
TON
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
TON
2 - 0
FEI
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
TON
2 - 1
UNM
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
SCP
1 - 2
AVE
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
POR
2 - 0
SCP
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
SCP
2 - 1
SAN
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
LEX
3 - 0
SCP
49%
28%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
SCP
1 - 0
TRO
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |